A Hard Look at Western Military Intervention in Syria: John Gelmini

English: Saddam Hussein statue falling Svenska...

English: Saddam Hussein statue falling Svenska: Saddam Hussein staty faller (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

I am responding to four articles reblogged by Dr Alf on the imminent military action from the US, the UK and France against Syria for alleged deployment of chemical weapons. Below are my views in response to each article.

Kerry: Use of chemical weapons in Syria “a moral obscenity” – CBS News

Most people in the UK and the USA, Europe and practically everywhere else are heartily sick of war.

They are also sick of being lied to and having to send their children and young men to fight, die and get maimed in wars which have no purpose but to enrich plutocrats and the Military Industrial Complex including BAE Defence Systems, Lockheed Martin, Grumann Aerospace, Raytheon et al.

Prior to Vietnam, a war in which 1 million Vietnamese died, 225,000 North Vietnamese ended up as missing in action,58,000 American servicemen died, thousands of acres of land was rendered useless by defoliants, poisons and unexploded bombs, 2,500 American soldiers ended up missing in action we had the “Gulf of Tonkin incident”.

Decades later, Robert Macnamara, one of the proponents of that war along with Dr Kissinger, admitted that this incident had never happened.

Before the Iraq War, we were told by Messrs Blair, Campbell and Bush that Saddam Hussein had “weapons of mass destruction”, that he represented a threat to us and that he had missiles which could “reach the UK IN 45 minutes”.

This all turned out to be a lie and the Chilcott enquiry which should have exposed Tony Blair and Alastair Campbell as liars and participants to an illegal war were left free to make as much money as they liked and without any criticism of their actions.

Tony Blair, for those that can remember, said that not to act would risk “Al Qaeda and other forms of terrorism coming together and then threatening us here in the UK”.He said this knowing perfectly well that there was no connection between Al Qaeda and Saddam Hussein.The reality is, that acting made us hated throughout the world and has created more terrorists than ever.

In addition to that the £6.2 billion gbp which Saddam Hussein appropriated during his life was never recovered and still remains with his wife Sajida and what family she has remaining.

In 2001 we had the Afghan war supposedly to root out terrorists who had caused the Twin Towers to fall during 9/11 in New York. This war was in fact planned in 2000 as part of the Brzezinski Doctrine to control Eurasia and was designed to:

–Establish 15 bases manned by Western mercenaries (XE plus some of our own), as a precursor to invading Russia via its southern border at a future date

–Capture mineral wealth in the form of copper, lithium and uranium (so far the Chinese are using 350,000 miners to mine lithium and copper worth $6 trillion USD at Aynak after the Americans cleared it of Taliban fighters) in 2011

–Enable the Turkmenistan oil pipeline to be built

Then we had Gaddafi and Libya where through the use of a “humanitarian corridor” we were going to save the lives of 8000 people who Gaddafi was going to kill.

Many more lives were lost as the result of the NATO bombing campaign than the 8000 people we supposedly saved,billions of pounds worth of damage was done and the country is now run by Muslim fanatics who have interests counter to our own.

Today we are told by David Cameron and Francoise Hollande that they want to bomb Syria.
This is without any credible evidence to show that the Sarin gas attack was committed by Assad and without any strategy to deal with the possible consequences and costs that will ensue.

General Dempsey, America’s top General has looked at the facts and has argued against precipitous action. His judgement and understanding of war and military matters is sound.We should listen to him, not the siren voices of Cameron, Hollande, Erdogan and others like APAC and the Government of Israel who seem to want a Middle East or wider war that others will have to fight.

Putin: No Evidence of Chemical Attack in Syria – Middle East – News – Israel National News

The evidence in my view does not exist and, even if it did, who is going to prove it definitively one way or the other?

Probably , ”evidence” will be fabricated thus providing the pretext for the West to do what Cameron and Hollande with a reluctant Obama,wanted to do anyway.

The international support will not be there so the Kosovo model using NATO is the method that will be used to justify an illegal act of war against a state which as yet threatens no-one and whose leader, Assad, was duly elected and enjoys the support of 2/3rds of his people. He may be a brutal dictator,thoroughly unsavoury and all manner of things we do not like but we have no right to depose him unless his people en mass say he should go.

The Syrian rebels are not united,fight amongst themselves,have attacked Orthodox Christian churches and are in favour of an agenda that is against our interests. We should not train them, support them or provide them with arms because one day they will be our enemies and we will live to regret helping them.

The response from Putin?

Who knows?

Attacking Israel would be self-destructive act for Assad | JPost | Israel News

If Assad is attacked by the West, it is very likely that Israel and some of the other countries supplying the rebels such as Qatar and Saudi Arabia will be targeted as well. It may be counterproductive for Assad to do this but it will also be counterproductive for the rest of us if a wider Middle East War creates a damaging spike in oil prices which in turn pushes us into depression.

Similarly, we do not know what China and Russia will do either now or at some distant point in the future when they are more powerful.

A wider Middle East war is going to create more terrorists, more ill feeling, more refugees, more casualties amongst our troops, more costs on the taxpayer that they cannot afford and a growing “enemy within”, inside the UK and Europe.

This as the Muslim population increases faster than the indigenous one and eventually outnumbers the indigenous population of each host country so that a new Caliphate becomes the “fact on the ground” representing the “Ghost of Christmas Future” within perhaps 30 years.

Sources: West tells opposition that Syria strike coming in days | JPost | Israel News

If they do there will be consequences that we cannot predict or quantify.

Even if nothing happens immediately, China and Russia will draw a lesson from any action, will remember and make us all pay later.

The UK is especially vulnerable because of its lack of food and energy capacity and if the limited action of firing Tomahawk cruise missiles fails to bring Bashir Assad to heel, what then?

Experience teaches us that Western approaches to warfare usually end up in escalation, as happened with military advisors in Vietnam which eventually increased to 1 million men under arms and more bombs dropped on that country than in the whole of World War 2 covering all theatres of military operations.
Russia’s military strategy is not based on the “High Noon ” concept of gradually increasing military pressure but is rather, based on the “Axe theory”, whereby you choose your most terrifying weapon first and then use it at a time and place your opponent least expects.

During the Cold War, the old Soviet Union had perfected weather warfare using Tesla technology and Scalar weaponry (See Tom Bearden website) and created the brutal winters of the 1970s with blackouts, brownouts and strikes which the Miners used to win.

Matters have moved on since then, so we cannot assume that the USA, UK and France will necessarily have it all their own way.

John Gelmini

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7 responses

  1. Pingback: The UK and the new geopolitical reality – John Gelmini « Dr Alf's Blog

  2. Pingback: Reflections on US military officers’ deep doubts about impact and wisdom of a US strike on Syria – John Gelmini « Dr Alf's Blog

  3. Pingback: The wisdom of the Chinese view on Western intervention in Syria – John Gelmini « Dr Alf's Blog

  4. Pingback: Syria, the “red line” and morality: Some wider reflections – John Gelmini « Dr Alf's Blog

  5. Pingback: Syria – Hit him hard – Economist lead: An alternative view – John Gelmini « Dr Alf's Blog

  6. Pingback: David Cameron Parliament and Military Intervention in Syria – John Gelmini « Dr Alf's Blog

  7. Pingback: The Western Military Intervention in Syria: further thoughts – John Gelmini « Dr Alf's Blog

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