This is a balanced assessment from leading macro economist, Gavyn Davies, writing in the FT. It’s a STRONGLY RECOMMENDED READ, in my view. Check it out1
Personally, I still worry about a recovery largely based on loose monetary policy and government guarantees for home loans to new buyers; the latter is inherently inflationary in my view. I am still concerned about the rate of growth in both exports and investment.
Let me turn this to two open questions:
- Do you think that there is still a case for the UK Government to intervene to stimulate exports and investment? If so,
- What policy measures should the UK government adopt to seriously stimulate exports and investment?