Dr Alf’s question about Germany turning more to China as a strategic partner is going to mean that European foreign policy which does not speak with one voice anyway, will become increasingly split.
Currently, European foreign policy is NATO foreign policy, which is British foreign policy through the Royal Institute of Strategic Studies instructing the American Council on Foreign Relations, which in turn tell the Americans what to do, along with the Government of Israel, through their AIPAC lobbying arm in public and directly in private.
Germany is economically dominant in Europe, and is not interested in foreign military adventurism, which means that they will want to contribute money to NATO for peacekeeping purposes and occasionally troops.
Beyond that, they (Germany) will not overtly support moves to effect regime change or change the pieces on the Middle East chessboard.
Angela Merkel has read the runes, seen that power, money and influence are moving eastwards and is positioning Germany to take advantage.
David Cameron’s Government should see what is happening and consider how best to position the UK for the future.
Within the context of a two-speed Europe, this will mean the UK remaining marginalized, paying too much tax, subsidizing the PIIG countries, and eventually being told what to do for foreign policy by the Americans now that the City of London is on its way to being relegated to 4th place in the world by 2016 with Hong Kong 1st, Singapore 2nd, New York 3rd.
This is what will happen regardless of anything that David Cameron, or his successor, might do.
Since Russian and Chinese foreign policy are for the moment, converging and Russia and Germany are co-operating on major industrial and engineering projects, differences will emerge between what the Americans want and the policies of China, Russia and Germany in the wings.
Power always follows money and economic growth, so what David Cameron should do but will not do, is position this country as an attractive offshore tax haven modeled on Switzerland and Singapore and stop posturing on the world stage as if we were a superpower.
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