Dr Alf is right to talk about a shift to a multipolar world because that is what we have been witnessing for the past 15 years, a shift of power, wealth and resources from the West to the East, coupled with a rise in the influence of Islam into a movement for a Global Caliphate.
Meanwhile, with the assistance of Saudi Arabia, I sense that PM Netanyahu would probably still prefer to attack Iran and between them effect regime change in Syria. Such action, it would appear, has been ruled out by the US military and General Dempsey, probably after extensive Pentagon war-gaming. The Americans are perhaps the only people capable of doing the job effectively because they have bombs capable of penetrating and destroying hardened nuclear power bunkers and other sites but critically they, along with Russia and China, do not want go to war.
In my personal view, the real threats to Israel come from people like Netanyahu, who by their actions and rhetoric make war more likely, thus bringing in the Great Powers and damaging Middle East wars with the potential to become World War 3.
In my mind, the Israeli people should reflect carefully on the new multipolar World; the US is beginning to focus its attention Eastwards, and since Afghanistan, lacks the desire to attack Iran, even if it were possible. Perhaps it is time for a more pragmatic and less bellicose leader in Israel?
In my personal view, Iran can be contained by a mixture of sanctions and psychological techniques to make their young people yearn for a more bright economic future and their woman to want more Western style emancipation.
I maintain that threats will drive Iran into building nuclear bombs and burying them deep in mountains whilst making bellicose statements, like the North Koreans.
- Netanyahu lobbies in Russia against Iran deal: Putin keeps cards close to chest (haaretz.com)
- Syria, the “red line” and morality: Some wider reflections – John Gelmini (dralfoldman.com)
- Opinion: US pays a price for spying on Merkel ex FT – John Gelmini (dralfoldman.com)
- The follies of the UK’s Public Accounts Committee (PAC) – John Gelmini (dralfoldman.com)
- Opinion: What does Mr Cameron believe in? His own ministers aren’t sure…The Observer – John Gelmini (dralfoldman.com)
- Opinion: US Treasury starts last measures to preserve borrowing authority ex Reuters – John Gelmini (dralfoldman.com)
- The wisdom of the Chinese view on Western intervention in Syria – John Gelmini (dralfoldman.com)
- Understanding context of Iran’s Rouhani posible meeting Obama at UN – John Gelmini (dralfoldman.com)
- Some thoughts on the wider implications following John McCain’s Pravda article – John Gelmini (dralfoldman.com)
- Opinion: The BBC and Jeremy Paxman should tell Downing Street where to go ex Telegraph – John Gelmini (dralfoldman.com)