Europe takes action to help 12 million long-term unemployed get back to work – Employment, Social Affairs & Inclusion – European Commission

European flag outside the Commission

European flag outside the Commission (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

According to this publication from the European Commission, it has proposed guidance today to Member States to better help long-term unemployed return to work.

Source: Europe takes action to help 12 million long-term unemployed get back to work – Employment, Social Affairs & Inclusion – European Commission

I am amazed at this simplistic initiative from the European Commission.

Most economists will argue that the European Commission’s economic policies have precipitated the massive rise in unemployment in Europe, especially Southern Europe. Economic demand has been constrained because of fiscal policies and the absence of investment.

The current proposals from the European Commission seem to have been dreamt up in a fish-bowl detached from reality.

A strategic approach is required, looking at industries, technology, global competion, education, skills, the public sector and social policies. It’s not a supply challenge, it’s demand related. Also increasing immigration flood gates will not help the long-term unemployed in Europe.

Thoughts?

5 responses

  1. Dr Alf is correct. This initiative will not work because the “Elephant in the room”, AI is going to destroy jobs faster than any make-work jobs creation scheme can replace them.

    Eric Schmidt of Google told his fellow Bilderbergers this in 2013 at the Grove Hotel, Watford, when he predicted that by 2033 50% of American jobs would have disappeared. In 2014, he said “What we would like to do is put chips into people, the problem is that the technology isn’t quite there yet”.
    What he has in mind is Matrix style “jump programmes” or expert systems loaded onto chips which are then injected into or merged into a human brain in a form of expert system or “augmented capability”.
    This potentially eliminates the need for call centre agents, care workers, doctors,lawyers (but not defence or courtroom lawyers), surgeons, teachers, lecturers, administrators, pilots, sea captains, supermarket workers, factory managers and unskilled workers whose role seems to be to do the jobs indigenous people do not want to do.

    By 2019 AI will, according to Ray Kurzweil, Google’s CTO and Chief Futurist, have caught up with human intelligence and will thereafter forge ahead of it. He is a leading luminary within the Trans Humanist movement, which envisages a few very bright people like him with life extension technology from the Geron Corporation and stem cell technology plus robotic replacement parts living Noah like lifespans or even forever, whilst running and controlling a much smaller group of people whose lives will be “nasty, brutish and short”.

    We need a debate about how these processes are to be managed because with American worker productivity far ahead of Europe’s, 75% of European jobs will disappear by 2033 unless there is an effective war against militant Islam and the Gulf states who are financing them. Immigrants in this “Brave New World” will not be needed for menial jobs as robotics, automated facilities modelled on the new automated factory in China and self replicating machines, like the “Mother Robot” produced by Cambridge University capable of producing it’s own “offspring” will be developed.

    Robots do not need housing, social care, infrastructure, roads, schools, airports, commuting hubs, buses, doctors, nurses or cars so the present misguided policy of letting them into Europe in large numbers represents a ticking time bomb.

    Once again, the European Commission is meddling with initiatives, without the benefit of a cohesive strategy.

  2. Dear Dr Alf, I agree with you that the European Commission in espousing the austerity policies of Germany has done a lot of damage in terms of unemployment,as the dramatic case of Greece has amply showed. But the present migrant wave has nothing to do with all this. In fact, it’s a well-known economic fact that immigrants ADD to the GNP, they pay taxes and since those who find work are in fact young and skilled, they help the economy in the long run and help pay for the retired workers. They do not displace European workers, they just pick up jobs Europeans don’t want (like sweeping the streets and picking tomatoes) or fill skilled positions that have gone unfilled. In fact, Germany is very welcoming mainly because it’s got nearly 600,000 jobs that are presently going unfilled! Those are facts, not inventions.

    • Dear Claude,

      Thank you for sharing your views. With respect, you perhaps missed my point. Let me restate my argument:

      ‘Also increasing immigration flood gates will not help the long-term unemployed in Europe’.

      Like you, I am familiar with the economic theory that immigration helps with economic growth. However, looking at this in isolation is no longer valid. An overall strategic approach is required for the following reasons.

      Firstly, there is my original point about the impact of massive immigration on the already long-term unemployed. I fear that the long term unemployed will be no closer to work but socially I sense that they will be angered by the immigration.

      Secondly, there is John Gelmini’s point about technology replacing jobs, especially with the exponential growth of artificial intelligence.

      Thirdly, it is necessary to model social and political consequences, as well as economic variables with mass immigration. Yes Germany has some surplus jobs today but as Germany’s economic growth model falters, there will be a political and social push-back against immigration. In ten years time, it is easy to imagine that Germany’s indigenous pensioners will want and expect priority of scarce economic resources over the social needs of immigrants families.

      • A thoughtful reply, I appreciate that! Thanks. I agree with Gelmini’s point about AI affecting employment. Definitely true. As to the future of Germany, it is hard to fathom and the VW scandal isn’t helping…We’ll see what happens, I guess. Nobody really knows for sure…

      • A number of commentators have questioned Germany’s growth prospects. It’s been heavily dependent upon exports, leveraging the Euro but public investment has been weak. Many sectors, like services, are still protected from global competition.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: