The skills crisis will be dealt with by robotics, automation and robot process outsourcing at the bottom end but I see no evidence of reskilling to move the UK to the top end and even if there was we are talking a 30 year period. The jobs will go to foreigners initially and then to nobody as AI takes over(consider Elon Musk’s self-driving cars).
My concern with remaining in is Turkey’s accession to the EU in 2021, the possible accession of the Ukraine shortly thereafter, and the plan to extend the EU into North Africa within selected countries.
The deal on migrants will unravel because as migrants enter Turkey they will have every incentive to turn them into Turkish citizens and then expel them after a time; you can be sure that Merkel, Cameron, and Tusk will not have made provision for this in the event that Turkey decides it is full up.
The ONS itself says that by 2025 we will have 80 million people living here and does not acknowledge the 7 million illegal immigrants already here and the 500,000 extra NI numbers being issued each year to people over and above the official numbers of new immigrants.
So within not too long, the ONS says 2046, we will have 100 million people living in the UK with the resources to support perhaps 1/3rd of that number. Their estimates about population have been proved wrong time and again, so we are going to reach 100 million people long before 2046 with no prospect because of lack of skills of us finding any country that would want those we no longer need. Given a housing shortage of 12 million and a build rate of 100,000 new houses a year, not enough construction workers, an assault on buy-to-let landlords by HMRC, insufficient mortgage finance, tighter lending criteria under the new Mortgage Market Review, plus action by the Bank of England to curb buy to let lending, a failure to allow systems building, building upwards or underground and no council house building, where are all these people going to live?
In the UK, we are not self-sufficient in food nor energy and Hinckley Point will take 15 years to build, so with these sorts of population increases and no legal way to curb the influx we risk blackouts and much higher food prices.
Assuming the UK does remain these issues have to be dealt with fast enough to cope with the inevitable rises in population.