Opinion – Economists overwhelmingly reject Brexit in boost for Cameron | Politics | The Guardian

In this outstanding must-read lead article, the Guardian cites the latest poll in which 88% of 600 experts fear long-term fall in GDP if UK leaves single market, and 82% are alarmed over impact on household income.

Source: Economists overwhelmingly reject Brexit in boost for Cameron | Politics | The Guardian

For me, as a passionate European and Remain supporter, this is overwhelming evidence, especially as the Brexit campaign have no hard economic projections and most importantly no independent risk assessments to support their case.

Despite the evidence, I have found that Brexit supporters are in complete denial. They are totally blind to the evidence and bury their heads in the sand like ostriches. Brexit supporters have their ears tuned to two messages, firstly false claims of patriotism and secondly xenophobia. According to recent polls many of these stubborn, hard-headed people are now frightened for their own economic future.

It is interesting that the right wing Telegraph is leading with a story attacking David Cameron and George Osborne. Expect increasing negative campaigning from the Brexit leaders as their arguments prove increasingly flakey.

As I argued yesterday:

As a realist, I cannot see David Cameron reuniting the Conservative Party after the referendum, even if the UK people vote to stay in. I predict a split in the Conservative Party, a vote of no-confidence and an early election – with a strengthened Labour Party – this would not be more of the Third Way of the Blair years but a strongly left-wing UK government.

Thoughts?

 

 

2 responses

  1. Bring it on, Alf ! Great to see the Tories in such disarray, with the prospect of a proper left-wing administration in power for the first time in nearly 40 years.

    • Thanks David. I know that you would welcome such a left-wing administration in the UK. As a lifetime one-nation conservative, I would see such as result as a major failure from the UK Conservative Party. Perhaps, I am being unduly pessimistic – time will tell

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