Opinion – So what will Brexit really mean? | The Economist

English: Flowchart for problem solving.

English: Flowchart for problem solving. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

This is a recommended read published by the Economist. It argues that Theresa May’s ministers are carefully avoiding specific answers. But it points out she is systematically disowning many of the Brexiteers’ promises.

Source: So what will Brexit really mean? | The Economist

Personally, I think that Theresa May’s problem solving style for Brexit is sub-optimal. She expects to be presented with a considered best proposal for Brexit. Based on my many years experience delivering radical change, I’m convinced that this is naive and simplistic. A dynamic approach is required that reflects changing contextual factors – political, social and economic. I would recommend an Action Research approach facilitated by an impartial subject matter expert – this was my area of expertise before I retired.


2 responses

  1. Thank you John. We are in agreement. It’s obvious to people with our experience. But I fear that the Government will not have the required expertise and will turn the major consultancies once again and end up paying up to GBP5,000+ a day for partner level expertise, with work left to graduate trainees. What will be different this time around is the deployment of vast armies of lawyers from the major legal firms.

    The one-time cost of Brexit will be eye watering but I fear that it has not yet been costed. Once again, I sense that the Cabinet Office will block the deployment of independent experts and their procurement model with ensure jobs ‘for the big boys’, with a large number of ineffective recruiters creaming off their percentage. In ten to twenty years time, the cost escalation of Brexit will reach the attention of the Public Accounts Committee.

    Despite everything, the UK is still one of the most innovative countries in the world. If only the UK could get smart with delivery.

  2. Dr Alf is right about a dynamic approach to options being needed and in addition the need for negotiators who understand business is required rather than the approaches typically adopted by UK civil servants lacking in business acumen and commonsense.
    The Singapore Government futureproofs all its policies by dynamically modelling presented options using detailed Scenario Modelling and OODA LOOP which is part of the process it uses for wargaming.
    Theresa May and her ministers and officials need to learn from Dr Alf’s global best practice and these up to the minute methods based of real time data and “wargamed” to anticipate potential future events.

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