Opinion – Britain doesn’t need to bluff about Brexit | Coffee House – Spectator – John Gelmini

English: Quads Aces, to represent poker games.

English: Quads Aces, to represent poker games. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

In reading this piece from Dr Alf, I am reminded of the phrase from the first Godfather film, “I’m going to make him an offer he can’t refuse”.

Mrs May’s ministers are divided, her civil servants are no good at negotiating, and opinion is split about the value of the “Single Market”.

As it is, we export very little to the Single Market and the foreign exchange we earn gets more than offset by loss of Corporation tax through the Dublin Financial District and Lichtenstein.

Passporting rights for banks can be retained by dint of a nearshoring Almo solution, using military forts like Seeland which lie beyond EU and UK territorial waters which is what internet service providers and server farm providers from America have been doing for more than 20 years. Banks and financial institutions with offices in the single market already remain unaffected by these passporting rules as do organisations with websites hosted outside the EU with shopping carts provided from elsewhere. They simply need to be owned by an EU company which can be owned by a brass plate entity in say the Seychelles with sales booked in one place and the bank account somewhere else.

Making the EU an “Offer it cannot refuse” is sensible but it has to be accompanied by calling in all UK top bosses and giving them the “Hard word” about executive pay and worker productivity. The hard word means legislating pay caps and providing export incentives and an end to rewards for failure and non delivery of improved shareholder value. For UK workers, it should mean tougher conditions for dole bludgers, no strike laws for essential public services, and caps on annual leave entitlements until productivity improves to upper decile levels.

John Gelmini

Refugee crisis: European leaders blamed for record high deaths in the Mediterranean | The Independent

The Independent reports that Britain and other European nations are making the refugee crisis worse by forcing people fleeing conflict and persecution to undertake covert and treacherous journeys, citing new research. It highlights that the damning report by the Unravelling the Mediterranean Migration Crisis (Medmig) project concluded that the refusal to open up legal routes for those seeking safety in Europe has increased demand for people smuggling on ever more dangerous routes.

Source: Refugee crisis: European leaders blamed for record high deaths in the Mediterranean | The Independent

Although I voted for Remain, I sadly must conclude that the refugee crisis highlights why the EU is not workable at the political level. Of all the European leaders, I would highlight Angela Merkel for botched, naive and ill-considered actions on refugees and immigration.

This leads me to an open question:

If Angela Merkel had not botched the refugee crisis, do you think that the UK would still be looking at a Hard Brexit?

Thoughts?