Highly cited around the world, read this editorial in English published in China’s influential Global Times. It suggests that despite overwhelming strength of the US, Pyongyang can risk everything if there is a showdown between it and Washington. It argues that the US should avoid such a scenario and it needn’t feel disgraced because of it.
Whilst I agree with the logic of the Global Times article and the conclusions, it glosses over the complexity of the context. I’ve spent a large part of my life working with American corporations and their ‘national psyche‘ is different. Can you imagine an American backing down from a game of chicken, especially when they can throw in the ‘mine’s bigger than yours’ variation? Then toss into the mix, the real ‘elephant in the room‘ – Donald Trump’s ego.
Americans understand poker and as the Global Times highlights Pyongyang can risk everything. America’s record on limited military engagement has been far from perfect, often resulting in unplanned escalation and loss of American military lives. Is Congress ready to send ground troops for a full invasion and what of the responses of China & Russia?
Surely, it’s time to think smart and deploy carot rather than stick? Or is this potentially the beginning of another Vietnam War to mobilize Americans blighted by emerging technology and the embarassing rise in depair deaths?