Opinion – The ‘Macron miracle’ could transform France into a global powerhouse – Brookings Institute

This is a good read from international think-tank, the Brookings Institute. I believe that the critical word in the headline is ‘could’. ‘Could’ is very early stage in the planning process and the other end of the continuum from achievement. But the article makes some sound points and Macron ‘could’ help France enhance her geopolitical position. Compared to Germany, the US and even the UK, France is largely unreformed. Having spent most of my career delivering strategic change, the France Transformation Program probably needs to be properly risk assessed and costed. If we’re tossing around the word ‘could’, it’s interesting to compare France to both Germany and the UK. With an ageing indigenous population, Germany’s mass immigration strategy seems to be introducing new risks, which are a potential threat to Germany’s economic, political and strategic outlook. Sadly, both France and Germany seem well positioned compared to the very high-risk Brexit deliverables. The strong probability is that the UK will be deeply weakened both economically and strategically  as a result of Brexit. Clearly, Macron was a restraining influence on Trump over Syria, rather than Merkel or May. Meanwhile, the UK’s Conservative Party is imploding and Jeremy Corbyn looks set to lead the first Far Left UK government, despite  allegedly being pro-Russian and an anti-Semite. Thoughts?

 

2 responses

  1. Dr Alf brings us an interesting article from the Brookings Institute about Macron.
    Personally I think the article is heavy on speculation and pius hopes.
    Macron may well be young,telegenic and clever but in France there is a great deal of opposition to his proposed reforms which is increasing rather than decreasing so the word “could” when applied to Macron means that he can and will overcome all these obstacles during his tenure.
    Believing something to be true does not “make it so” in the words of Jean Luc Picard the imaginary Starship commander in one of the early Star Trek television programmes played by the ageing English actor Sir Patrick Stewart.
    So ,like the England football team about to board the plane for a semi final one can “perceive that victory will elude Macron ” in his forlorn attempt to reform the unreformable in the shape of a France that refuses to change.

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