European spring – Trust in the EU and democracy is recovering | Bruegel

Southern europe

Southern europe (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

Citing latest survey evidence, European think-tank Bruegel argues that trust in the EU and satisfaction with democracy are returning in southern European countries, where citizens’ confidence in European institutions was dented during the crisis years.

European spring – Trust in the EU and democracy is recovering | Bruegel

Personally, I live in Southern Europe and struggle with the conclusion that trust is returning. After an unnecessarily prolonged period of austerity, with related economic and social pain, I accept that Europe is recovering economically. For me, trust cannot recover until Germany removes her stranglehold on the Euro and related EU fiscal management. I accept that President Macron’s election in France is a positive sign.

A whole generation of young people in Southern Europe have been permanently scarred by prolonged unemployment. Southern Europe did not receive a Marshall Plan from the troika of the IMF, ECB and the EU. In the end EU financial policy came to the aid of French and German banks rather than creating growth in Southern Europe.

Southern Europe still need powerful economic help. From a related blog on on US foreign in Afghanistan, we learn that US funding for Afghanistan vastly exceeded US investment in Germany with the Marshall Plan after WWII. So when will the central bankers and the IMF face up to the need for massive investment in Southern Europe, like for example, infrastructure investment to support the distribution of offshore natural gas in the territorial waters of Cyprus?

Let ask an open question:

Have you seen any evidence of a European Spring?

Thoughts?

Liberal Democrat 2017 – General Election Manifesto – Costings Document.pdf

Alarmingly, the Liberal Democrats are the only major UK political party ready to release a schedule of costings to support their 2017 manifesto.

To see the Liberal Democrats costing paper open this link

As a financial professional, I could easily criticize this document, I commend the Liberals for their integrity and professionalism. Personally, I’d prefer to see some sensitivity analysis with upside and downside scenarios, along with risk analysis and mitigation strategy.

BUT what’s seriously alarming is the absence of costing evidence from both the Conservatives and Labour. Most critically, the public have a right to see some sensitivity analysis for worst case Brexit scenarios, along with a professional risk analysis.

This leads me to the conclusion that Theresa May is looking for popular support from the UK public but is not ready to publish the downside risks from a hard-Brexit – this is shameful and underhanded. What’s Theresa May trying to hide?

Thoughts?