Opinion – The Brexit negotiations: Issues for the first phase | European Parliamentary Research Service Blog

Please don’t rely on the UK mainstream media for truth and evidence – it’s too biased. Here’s an excellent guide to the first phase of the Brexit negotiations published by the European Parliamentary Research Service Blog

Source: The Brexit negotiations: Issues for the first phase | European Parliamentary Research Service Blog

Of course, worse than the output of the UK mainstream media are the platitudes and false truths from Prime Minister, Theresa May and her Brexit Minister, David Davis. I agree with my friend, and fellow blogger, John Gelmini, that these two are such weak negotiators that the UK will be forced into huge financial penalties and political sacrifices.

At least with the above checklist, you can track May and Davis’s concessions.

These are dangerous times for the UK politically, with massive downside economic risks – look at the increasing number of headlines that cite the word ‘revolution’ in relation to the UK.

I suggest that there are four political forces in play:

  1. Conservative Party 1922 Committee ready to replace the prime minister if she continues to bungle her leadership and lose ground to Corbyn’s Labour Party – May has limited wiggle room on Brexit
  2. Right-wing populism, with Nigel Farage, sitting in the wings, ready to step back into the limelight, whipping up support from the Far-Right
  3. Left-wing populism, with Jeremy Corbyn‘s Labour Party, having been hijacked by radical Far-Left activists focused on revolution.
  4. The strategic political center for democracy, like Macron’s France, currently virtually unoccupied in the UK but looking increasingly attractive to Pro-European Tories and Blairite Labour MPs.

The way forward depends upon emerging contingencies and national events.

Strategists should be able to project a series of scenarios for risk profiling  – that’s for another day. But let me share a deep lingering fear, when right-wing populism and left-wing populism converge – a nightmare, with perhaps a new ‘Hitler’, ‘Mussolini’ or ‘Stalin’ emerging in the UK, fanning the ashes of the revolution.

Thoughts?

Opinion – Back soft Brexit,’ unions urge Labour | Politics | The Guardian

Jeremy Corbyn

Jeremy Corbyn (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

This is an important read from the Guardian. It argues that 50 senior party figures have told party leader Jeremy Corbyn ‘to fight unambiguously for membership of the single market’ and now the TUC has pitched in too.

Source: ‘Back soft Brexit,’ unions urge Labour | Politics | The Guardian

I still worry about the real power base in Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour Party – the party was hijacked by a group of far-left radicals and traditional socialist MPs have been left out in the cold. The influential Economist newspaper recently suggested that Jeremy Corbyn is nor really interested in Brexit, he’s more focused on domestic revolution.

Hopefully, we shall see MPs of all parties playing a positive role on Brexit. But I remain suspicious. After the election, Corbyn had the opportunity to bury the hatchet and invite former Blairite ministers to return to front-line politics – but he preferred to keep his team of radical lightweights.

Thoughts?