Opinion – Iran ‘WILL FALL’. Regime faces TRIPLE THREAT and could be brought down this year – The Daily Star


Here’s a fascinating article from UK tabloid newspaper the Daily Star and printed by the Daily Express. This very strong article cites an exclusive interview with Babak Taghvaee, an Iranian dissident and defence expert saying that the Islamic government is facing three key uprisings this year. For me the article is too assertive for the limited evidence which remains the biassed opinion of one person. Whilst, I accept the broad threads, I am not sure that the concept of bringing down the Iranian regime has been properly risk assessed. Surely, the more the Iranian regime is put under pressure, the more radical will be the interventions? Thoughts?

Opinion – French election 2017: What are Emmanuel Macron’s policies? | World | News | Express.co.uk – John Gelmini

Dr Alf in this article which he brings us from the Daily Express, is careful and measured in his assessment of Macron, who on paper looks like the favourite to win the French election at this time. Having visited France many times and with friends near Montpelier, I think that dramatic reform is needed to French big business and to the attitudes of people who think that France is owed a living by a harsh and cruel world. Muslim migrants are in the suburbs of great French cities and rather too many are marginalised and therefore have nothing to lose by engaging in acts of troublemaking and terrorism.The French economy has therefore to be reorganised so that it runs faster and can create more jobs, difficult as that is going to be with more automation, AI,robotics, 3D printing, nanotechnology, machine learning. Muslims who are busy earning a living and integrating into a secular way of life will give up their medieval practices and not make trouble but whether Macron, if elected, can effect this sort of mental shift given trades union militancy and the French traditions of blockading ports, burning dead British sheep, demonstrations etc, is questionable.

Macron is a technocrat, clever full of solutions but not necessarily able to articulate to France’s losers, what the future needs to be and what sacrifices there will need to be along that road. The French business elite and Government elite do not have proper solutions either and they think they have already earned the right to their feather-bedded and gilded existence which means that the Society Dr Alf knows and loves so well is dangerously polarised.

Macron, or whoever wins ,cannot turn the clock back but he is going to have to prepare France for an EU operating at two-speeds or the possibility of an EU split into two halves, North and South. Whether he can or indeed anyone can, is a moot point; however, Macron is not a supine Obama but he is no streetfighter either, so for me the jury is out.

John Gelmini