This article by the Telegraph makes controversial reading, citing the latest opinions from Digby Jones.
Personally, I agree with Digby-Jones on two fundamental points.
Firstly, I agree that David Cameron is unlikely to negotiate significant concessions from European partners.
Secondly, I agree with the need for radical reform in the UK.
However, then I diverge from Digby-Jones and believe that the UK should remain part of Europe for strategic and economic reasons.
I am also unimpressed that Digby Jones was the former head of the lobby group, the Confederation of British Industry (CBI). Since 2008, many large corporations have sat on mountains of cash, rather than invest in new products, technologies and markets. Presumably, the CBI also represents many large companies who openly practice tax evasion. The CBI is primarily interested in maximizing it’s members pre-tax profits, and is not necessarily concerned with the wider economic and social challenges in UK society; see John Gelmini’s blog on the wider implications of the Los Angeles Wal Mart protests.
The UK has already been marginalized within Europe by David Cameron’s bungling of pre-negotiations. Let’s hope that ahead of any UK referendum, the risks and opportunities will be properly debated. In my judgement, if the UK left the EU, there would be a high risk of an economic catastrophe, with far reaching social implications. Los Angeles and Wal Mart are not good examples for the UK.