Tory manifesto: What are the economic implications? And does the reality match the rhetoric? | The Independent

This is an insightful read from the Independent. It reports that Theresa May’s Conservative manifesto for the general election has been hailed as a watershed moment in the history of the party and indeed for the broader UK political landscape. It adds that “Post-Thatcherism” and “third way Conservatism” are just two of the descriptions of the 84-page document, entitled Forward Together.

Tory manifesto: What are the economic implications? And does the reality match the rhetoric? | The Independent

The Independent provided informed commentary and concludes that there are enormous risks with the Conservatives’ approach to Brexit. I would have been harder on the absence of detailed policies, costings and risk analysis. In a related blog, I cite the excellent costings paper provided by the Liberals but am deeply suspicious of the absence of a fully costed manifesto from both the Conservatives and Labour.

I fear that May’s looking for as large a majority as possible at any cost and is appealing to former UKIP and Labour voters. BUT once in power, I sense May will revert to the right of the Conservative Party. She doesn’t want to risk polarizing Conservative MPs in parliament. I expect powerful lobbying and vested interests will prevail on May, assuming she’s reelected. Sadly, the manifestos will gather dust and the UK people will have to wait for their Macron moment. But by the time the UK people rise to their centrist Macron, I expect that Theresa May will have done permanent damage to the UK economy in her Brexit negotiations.

Thoughts?

 

 

Opinion – When – if ever – will the real Cameron stand up? – Simon Heffer – the Daily Telegraph

This is a robust article from Simon Heffer in the Telegraph. It’s worth a read to see the red meat that is being thrown to traditional tory supporters.

Source: When – if ever – will the real Cameron stand up?

Personally, I agree with Simon Heffer that David Cameron is not an effective leader and that he probably has warmer support with the G20 gathering than in the UK media ahead of the Brexit referendum.

As a passionate European, I take strong exception with Simon Heffer on the Brexit debate. Judging by the imbedded poll in the article most Telegraph readers are pro-Brexit unlike the national polls.

I am a lifelong one-nation conservative. Sadly, these days I see the UK Conservative Party lurching to the right trying to avoid a hemorrhage to UKIP. Cameron’s leadership of the central ground of politics is eroding quickly. As I follow the daily news on Brexit, I find myself supporting prominent Labour campaigners. The right wing Tory leaders of Brexit are playing a dangerous game stirring up false patriotism and very real xenophobia.

The article suggests that the knives are out for David Cameron’s back, even if he wins the referendum and the the UK votes in favour for staying in.

Regular readers of this blog will remember that I am well ahead of Simon Heffer in his reasoning.

When Cameron and Osborne first came to power, I soon learned that that they were not lead by conviction, rather short-term political gain. Time and time again, along with my colleague and fellow-blogger, John Gelmini, we have searched for a cohesive government strategy but in vain. Cameron and Osborne are political chameleons.

David Cameron shot himself in the foot when he agreed to the Brexit referendum in the first place. Many now question his wisdom and judgement. I suggest that Cameron has never been an effective leader and in control of his party.

As a realist, I cannot see David Cameron reuniting the Conservative Party after the referendum, even if the UK people vote to stay in. I predict a split in the Conservative Party, a vote of no-confidence and an early election – with a strengthened Labour Party – this would not be more of the Third Way of the Blair years but a strongly left-wing UK government.

Thoughts?