Opinion – Boris Johnson dismisses fears that trade will be hit by Brexit | Daily Mail Online – John Gelmini

Español: Aduana en el aeropuerto de Stansted.

Español: Aduana en el aeropuerto de Stansted. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

The terms of an agreement for Turkey to join the EU have been discussed but not yet agreed publicly.

That said Erdogan expects £3 billion GBP a year for the deal already done on migrants and he expects the EU to make Turkey a full member in 5 years (2021).

In the event of delays by Germany vis-a-vis Turkish membership, Erdogan has said that he will turn on the “floodgates”, by which he means many more economic migrants will be unleashed to go to Europe. When he was offered half the amount of money he wanted for the deal on migration he concentrated the minds of Angela Merkel, David Cameron and Donald Tusk by saying publicly, “Do you take us for fools, it is costing us up to £6 billion GBP a year to take the number of refugees we have already? Of course, the £6 billion GBP figure was an exaggeration but the wily Erdogan got the figure he wanted and made fools out of Merkel, Cameron and Tusk who between them and the rest of the EU stumped up the first £3 billion GBP.

Dr Alf is right in this piece from the Daily Mail to point out that Turkey is not yet a member of the EU; there is however a clear direction of travel in that David Cameron and the Americans have each been pushing very hard for EU enlargement right up to the Russian border despite Merkel’s preference for letting Turkey become an EU member and splitting the Ukraine into two spheres, one Russian and the other aligned with the EU.

Current forward deployments of American military hardware and special forces in all the countries to the West of the Ukraine and help provided to the Ukrainian military are being increased for the purpose of driving the EU border eastwards not just protecting Ukraine’s sovereignty.

Turks can already work in Germany and Syrian refugees and economic migrants already allowed into Turkey can allegedly already access bogus documentation and UK NI numbers from the 19 million spare numbers that are allegedly available in pubs, rogue religious establishments and from people smugglers.

Turkish border guards can and are being bribed to let people go for trivial sums so the prospect for Europe and Britain is more Turks and more migrants of all kinds. The UK is possibly the weakest link in the border defences of Europe since we have no E-Borders programme to count people in and out, inadequate passport checks (only 88% at airports) and practically none at bus and ferry terminals. Our UK coastline remains unprotected because our single coastal protection vessel was scrapped in 2012 and now we learn that not one of our maritime patrol vessels is available because they have all been sent to Calais. Last year nearly 700,000 people were issued with NI numbers but officially the ONS figures showed that 265,000 migrants had arrived.The difference could not have been made up by legal migration or school leavers since the time of year was wrong and the official ONS figures do not take the 7 million illegal immigrants already here into account. Since the time of the late Enoch Powell the Home Office has been allegedly fiddling immigration and crime figures and the ONS, although well meaning and basically honest in its approach to number crunching ends up underestimating what is going on because they are fed incorrect and incomplete data as evidenced by their refusal, couched in very careful language, to believe /sign off the crime figures from Chief Constables via the Home Office.

The American Department Of Homeland Security is not happy about EU and UK border controls, numbers of migrants nor the quality and veracity of passports and EU/UK identification documentation, to the point where it has suspended its “Visa Waiver Programme” until such time as it deems that the UK and the EU have tightened up their procedures. This process of “tightening up” is not in evidence and is being exploited by smuggling gangs bring people into the country by rubber boats to remote parts of the coast, lorries marked TIR being used to smuggle people and by almost nonexistent border controls at ferry and bus terminals. The UK is already being flooded with all kinds of undocumented and fake documented migrants and the migration deal with Turkey, irrespective of Turkey’s accession to full EU membership will accelerate the process unless it is stopped.

Boris Johnson, for reasons of political ambition does not go into this sort of detail and the Daily Mail is written for people with a reading age of 9 who are not detail oriented. That said, they have in their processes of headline seeking and sensationalism hit upon elements of the truth and a very real problem that the EU under its present leadership is not addressing.

John Gelmini

Opinion – British public must be told truth about immigration figures ahead of EU referendum, says watchdog – Telegraph – John Gelmini

English: Enoch Powell

English: Enoch Powell (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

This is an interesting piece of pantomime from the Daily Telegraph, courtesy of Dr. Alf, but to get the full picture we have to go back to the days of the late Enoch Powell and the time preceding his “Rivers of Blood” speech which is the reason given for his sacking by the then Prime Minister Edward Heath, now deceased.

During this period, the Home Office produced its own figures on immigration which Enoch Powell, a fine scholar and intellectually rigorous man, felt were bogus.
Powell set about drilling into the figures with characteristic efficiency and discovered that the Home Office had been deliberately undercounting the number of people from the Commonwealth being allowed into the country by as much as 40,000 people a year, a huge figure for those more innocent times.

Powell tried to raise the matter time and time again but the Home Office was having none of it, using a combination of bland denials, obfuscation, and civil servant speak to deflect Powell’s enquiries.

Powell, who was very right-wing, “Empire Loyalist ” and in modern terms blatantly racist, then sought to make a political statement which the working classes (we had them then),understood and which would give Ted Heath and his brand of Conservatism a punch on the nose. He made the “Rivers of Blood ” speech and was promptly sacked by Ted Heath, whilst the BBC and the press almost to a man gave this notorious speech as the reason for his firing. Ted Heath went further and said that he “Only wanted people of quality in his Government” and dismissed the working class crowds of people who bayed” Enoch” in their marches as bigots and racists until matters calmed down.

Powell never again held political office and was given the kiss of death by the establishment which was to never again be allowed to speak on the radio programme “Any Questions” chaired by then-then apparatchik of the day, the late Freddie Grisewood.

The Home Office which was not “fit for purpose” even then, carried on doing what it had been doing before, so Powell had to go back to studying history and put what he had discovered about the Home Office gerrymandering the immigration figures into a slim book which was given very little publicity which I vaguely remember as “Still to Decide”.

Today, things are done on a much bigger scale and the figures are independently compiled by the Office of National Statistics who in fairness try to do the best with what they are given but are hopelessly out of date.

To begin with, there are 19 million spare NI numbers which can be bought in downmarket pubs from criminals and in certain religious establishments. Illegal migrants use these to claim benefits, create new identities and work all the same time. This is why the ONS can never reconcile the unemployment figures with the number of people in work allowing the Government to be “perplexed”.

By 2014, there were 7 million illegal immigrants based on the amount of food sold in supermarkets which exceed by a wide margin what the official population could possibly eat or consume.

Then we get the figures for notes and coins in circulation and our third reference point is school admissions of undocumented children by undocumented parents who are not and never have been on the voters roll.

2 months ago 693,000 new NI numbers were officially issued (not from the 19 million spare numbers) but from the allocatable numbers, for migrant workers, yet the ONS figures showed that only 260 ,000 migrants had entered the UK. Dr Alf would probably call this a matter of “irregular statistical analysis” and if unleashed on the figures could quickly make sense of them, especially given his insights from his time as CFO at ONS. Sadly, there is little prospect of the Home Office enticing him out of his Cypriot lair to undertake this vital piece of interim management and even less chance of the ONS providing us with accurate migration data ahead of the Referendum.

John Gelmini