Jean-Marie Le Pen « Dr Alf's Blog



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Despite this Guardian report brought to us by Dr Alf, I think this French election is still too close to call.

The comparisons between Mussolini and Hitler and Marine Le Pen would be accurate if we were talking about her father the Holocaust denier and belittler.In her case troublesome Muslims and Jihadists seem to be the object of her disdain rather than anyone else.

Fortunately, the 1930s were a long time ago and the risks posed by Marine Le Pen are of a France trying to pretend that it can “punch above its weight” working with America to try and control Mali and mineral rich parts of Africa in preference to the Chinese who have just built a naval base at Djibuti.

Macron is still the favourite but if he does win the margin will be small and the Greek bailout and PIIGS problems still point to the splitting of the EU.

John Gelmini

BREXIT: What do Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron mean for Britain?



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This is a momentous time for France, Europe and the world that the Guardian is reporting on in this new and interesting post from Dr Alf.

Macron may indeed win eventually but it may not be by a very wide margin and as for his dreams of a Federal Europe, these are becoming more implausible by the day.

The best case scenario is a two-speed Europe, a central core run by Germany as a latter-day Holy Roman Empire with an outer ring comprised of bankrupt and troubled vassal states headed up by a liege lord (Macron) reporting to Germany but running France which would in turn watch over the PIIG countries assuming Greece gets bailed out again by the IMF.

The worst case scenario will be an EU split into two distinct units, with only the Northern half paying its way plus a massive influx of new Muslim and African migrants courtesy of President Erdogan the new leader of a revived Ottoman Empire.

Macron’s abilities, like those of Donald Trump, have yet to be tested even assuming he wins and wins by a reasonable margin.

Most of the EU leaders are lightweights, with the exception of Mrs Merkel, whilst our own Prime Minister is a slow-footed ditherer who cannot think on her feet and who buckles under concerted pressure rather too easily when it comes from Big business, plutocrats and local authority and NHS fat cats.

Only time will tell what the future of Macron is and 7th May is not that long to wait.

John Gelmini