Opinion – Why the world faces climate chaos – FT.com – John Gelmini

I am afraid that whilst Dr Alf thinks that what Martin Wolfe has written is a “must read” I think it needs to be a must read for a different reason.

Many years ago, I had an excellent geography teacher called Mr. Burlingham and I remember his lesson on this very subject vividly and his belief that we were in fact between two ice ages because the time period between the last two ice ages was bigger than the period between the last one and the then present day when I was a schoolboy in his geography class.

The lesson was about how the earth traveled in an elliptical orbit around the sun for 1500 years and during that time drew closer to the sun for a period of 40 years and then moved away again.

The Medieval warming period and the period of the 1970s, when we had very long hot summers, corresponds with the warmer times when the earth was closer to the sun, whereas the winters of 2002, 2009, 2010, 2012 and 2013 are indicative of Global Cooling, something which the British Government has had reports about for almost ten years.

There is more hard evidence.

The earth has warmed by 1 degree in about 125 years, a period in which global population has doubled to 7 billion and any warming trends there were stopped in 1998 some 16 years ago.

The IPCC report in its latest manifestation says that this is explained by the oceans absorbing the man-made generated warming and that in 25 years this process of heat absorption will stop and that the world will start warming up again.

The problem with this is that both the north polar icecap and the one in Antarctica are 25% thicker and cover a 25% larger landmass at least according to NASA satellite imagery copied onto my mobile phone.

One would expect that warmth in the oceans would melt the ice, or at least, stop it from thickening but the opposite is true, and what’s more, Polar Bears are flourishing and have quadrupled in number thus confounding doomsayers, like Al Gore, the Prince of Wales,the BBC and the Club of Rome.

Professor Richard Lindzen, the top oceanographer in the world, does not believe in Global Warming and said so in an address to the House of Commons, the Russian Academy of Sciences; the Chinese and Indian Governments do not believe it either.

This is why the Chinese, even as we speak, are buying up land in Cambodia, Argentina, Brazil and Australia, on which to grow food for their people and one of the reasons Russia is keen to obtain more land in the Ukraine and put more of its own land under cultivation using the expertise of English arable farmers to advise and guide them.

The BBC which listens to people like Professor Nurse, Professor Beddington and the Climate Change Department at the University of East Anglia, does believe in it, yet the BBC cannot get more than 20% of its weekly weather forecasts right.

The Met Office who provide the BBC with forecasts on weather are so inaccurate that Tesco PLC fired them and replaced them with an American forecasting service because the BBC’s inaccurate advice was costing Tesco’s a great deal of money.

Martin Wolfe should I think write less alarming nonsense.

John Gelmini

David Cameron and the Politics of Fracking – John Gelmini

English: David Cameron's picture on the 10 Dow...

English: David Cameron’s picture on the 10 Downing Street website (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

I am responding to Dr Alf’s blog entitled First photo of UK fracking site via Mail Online surely justifies wider protest? and his six open questions:

  1. What ever happened to David Cameron‘s environmental credentials?
  2. Why wasn’t there greater consultation from the Government?
  3. Why don’t the Government publish the economic benefit case?
  4. Why don’t the Government publish the risk assessment?
  5. What do individual MPs think about fracking and environmental risk?
  6. Should these or similar questions be sent to MPs to ask the Government to clarify policy?
What ever happened to David Cameron‘s environmental credentials?

1) David Cameron never had any environmental credentials because even when he claimed to be cycling to work the limousine following him at a discreet distance carried his bodyguards and his red boxes

Why wasn’t there greater consultation from the Government?

2) There was no greater consultation from the Government on fracking because we, thanks to the neglect of this and previous Governments, are facing blackouts because populations have risen, existing generating capacity is coming to the end of its useful life and has not been replaced.

Nuclear power stations have not been built and the money to do so has not been found but has been wasted on overseas aid, the Barnett Formula, poor purchasing, badly managed projects at the MOD and payments to unnecessarily large numbers of councils, quangos, constabularies and civil servants.

The Government and the BBC have both been telling the British people that Global Warming /Climate Change exists even though for the past 8 years all their reports have been showing that the opposite is the case. As a result they could not be seen to be building extra energy capacity because, according to them, that extra capacity would not be needed.

The Russian Academy of Sciences, the Chinese and Indian Governments, Professor Richard Lindzen of MIT, Lord Lawson and Lord Christopher Monckton have all determined that Climate Change is a fiction and now the UK Government has been caught out but cannot admit it because then people would realize that the whole Climate Change scenario is a device to raise carbon taxes.

Nuclear power stations take 15 to 20 years to build so the only thing that can credibly close the generation gap in time is fracking.

Why don’t the Government publish the economic benefit case?

3) Because they never planned to frack but through their own neglect are being forced to do so for the reasons stated in 2 above.

Why don’t the Government publish the risk assessment?

4) Because if they did so and damage ensued from fracking they would be faced with an admission of culpability at inception.

Waiting, they reason, will avoid this, although in my view their neglect and culpability will be exposed in any case.

By not doing the risk assessment, and relying on the American experience, they think that they can avoid blackouts and create good news stories about employment growth, freedom from OPEC and Mr Putin’s on/off gas supplies.

What do individual MPs think about fracking and environmental risk?

5) Most of them think about their salaries and expenses and their over long summer recess.

A few like Julian Huppert MP, an affable Liberal Democrat, think about the environment a lot.

In the end, it does not matter what they think because fracking will have to happen if the lights are to stay on.

Should these or similar questions be sent to MPs to ask the Government to clarify policy?

6) We are supposedly in a democracy and yes, they should be.

However, the die has already been cast and matters are too far gone for it to matter.

The Daily Mail photograph is as Dr Alf implies, disgusting, but so are the scenes around coal mines, oil drilling wells in rural Lincolnshire and off Poole in Dorset about which we hear very little.

We have to frack and frack now but the sites need to be better landscaped and screened so that negative impacts are lessened.

As for the right to protest, people need to understand the position the country is in and the truth versus what they are being told because otherwise they will be protesting about the wrong things.

Similarly, the risks and costs of not fracking need to be on the table as well as the risks of doing so before objective decisions about what to base protests on are made.

Since the cart has preceded the horse, in this instance, much of the present protest will be in vain.

In the event that fracking is stopped, then the alternative to blackouts is going to be buying more nuclear power from France, remaining in thrall to Russia and OPEC and periodic brownouts.

Power bills will rise inexorably, fuel poverty will skyrocket, the Government will benefit from higher tax take via VAT on fuel bills and food prices will rise making the bulk of people poorer.

All this is very sad but those really responsible in the Club of Rome are going to profit either way.

Let me also take this opportunity of discussing the protests at Balcombe, Sussex.

The anti fracking protesters at Balcombe, in West Sussex, are it seems being backed by the Co-operative Supermarket and the Co-operative Bank and have received assistance from Lush the cosmetics chain.(Source:Daily Telegraph).

The Co-op financially supported the release of the documentary GASLAND a film which was made 2 years ago,saying that the film about America’s dash for shale gas showed how the technology “risks” local ecological disaster”.

The Co-op has called for a moratorium on fracking and has asked its customers to put pressure on their local MPs to oppose test drilling.

In addition to this, the Co-op has organised meetings in areas where fracking may be about to take place to screen GASLAND and discuss references to a report on fracking commissioned by the Tyndall Centre For Climate Change Research.

They are enthusiastic supporters of renewable energy and of left-wing causes and could not say how much they have spent on their anti fracking campaign.

They are the biggest financiers of offshore wind farms which only generate electricity 14% of the time and are heavily subsidised by the taxpayer.

Thus the people of Balcombe and elsewhere are being stirred up into a frenzy of indignation by the Co-op Bank, Lush and others through a combination of anti-fracking films and messages without knowledge of the full facts of our dire energy supply situation or what will happen if we have a harsh winter, namely blackouts and potential economic chaos.

The Daily Telegraph should go further and research the Balcombe protesters to ascertain whether links exist between them and the Co-op in terms of investing in wind farms.From that, we would discover whether they really are as they portray themselves–Concerned apolitical Middle Englanders on the march to protect the environment and the tranquility of their rural idyll.

John Gelmini

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